I decided rather than do a typical winner-loser post or a breakdown
of teams drafts, I have decided to change it up and put myself up against NHL
GM’s. To do that I am going to take seven prospects who will “enter” my teams
system. The catch; all players I select have just gone undrafted in this 2014
NHL Draft.
With my first pick I will select from the Moncton Wildcats
left winger Vladimir Tkachev. Tkachev is a highly skilled Russian who played on
a line with Ivan Barbashev this past season. Tkachev may have been a bit of a passenger
but still put up 30 points in 20 games for the Wildcats. He has great speed and
is quick with the puck, evidenced by this goal he scored in the Subway Super Series. He gives my team a legitimate top prospect and a player
with top 6 upside.
With my second pick I dabble into the NCAA to find Gavin
Bayreuther of St Lawrence University. NCAA players have been shown to be
undervalued by teams and tend to have a great return on
investment. Bayreuther had an excellent season putting up 36 points in 38
games. I found at that NCAA d-men who score at least 0.5 points per game have
the best chance of becoming NHL players. Bayreuther blows away that number
which leads me to believe he has NHL potential.
With my third pick I head over to the WHL and nab Kelowna
Rockets center Tyson Baille. Baille has a great hockey IQ and thinks the game
at very high level. He combines that with soft hands and a good skating ability.
He put up 55 points in 56 games this season for the Rockets. That ppg total of
0.98 was second on the Rockets. Kelowna was a very strong team this past season
so parts of Baillie’s stats may be inflated but he still has shown enough skill
to be worth taking a chance on.
Heading to the QMJHL for the fourth pick and second
defencemen; Nikolas Brouillard. Brouillard was covered in my seventh round
sleepers post but to recap. Brouillard in his second draft
eligible season put up 61 points in 68 games. I have mentioned that overage
players tend to be busts more often than not but his draft season was also very
successful as he put up 57 points in 68 games. He could pair with Bayreuther to
give my team a solid puck moving defence tandem.
With my fifth pick I jump into the US high school
system and get John-Claude Brassard. Now I know high school players are the
hardest to project and come with significant risk, but the research I did
showed that defencemen who put up 1.5 points per game in high school have a
better chance of becoming NHL regulars. Among high school D ranked by central
scouting, Brassard had the highest ppg with 1.59.
For my sixth pick I am taking Luke Phillip from the
Kootney Ice of the WHL. Phillip has good passing skills as shown by his 46 assists
this season. Don’t let that total fool you into thinking this guy can’t finish because
he can, popping 31 goals this season. In looking at his +/- total it appears he
played on the second line with Tim Bozon and Autin Vettel rather than the top
line with Sam Reinhart and Jaedon Descheneau. That bodes well for his future
success as it looks like he is the one driving the bus and making his teammates
better.
With my seventh pick I again go to yet another league this
time to the USA under 18 team and pick defencemen Brandon Fortunato. Fortunato
had a solid season for the U-18 team posting 37 points in 61 games. That is
right on the line of what predicts NHL success from the US National team. What gives
me confidence about Fortunato is that this was not his first season showing
offense. He put up 30 points in 17 games as a 16yr old in high school. He could
be the steal of my team as he has a good chance of making the NHL.
If I was able to acquire more picks I would select Ivan
Nikolishin a center from the Everet Silvertips and Joe Hicketts a defencemen
from the Victoria Royals. I covered both in my seventh round sleepers post,
which you can check out here.
There you have my 7 (+2) prospects from this year’s draft. I
think I did pretty well as I tried to get skill at every position. I have a
good mix of forwards and defenders. The lack of goalie depth may be an issue
but again goalies are voodoo and I would likely just sign a cheap UFA goalie
for my team. How does this team stack up to others in the NHL? Only time will
tell.
All stats are from hockeydb and eliteprospects. Scouting
tidbits are from HockeyProspects 2014 Black Book.
If you have any questions or comments about anything feel
free to post them in the comment section.
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